Markets
continue to struggle to remain in the green, with continued profit-booking
appearing at the slightest of upmove in the heavy-weighted stocks. The news on
GLAXO PHARMA’s decision to enhance its holding in the Indian business at a
significant premium has resulted into some of the other PHARMA & FMCG
stocks gain momentum. Additionally, there also seems to be a distinct
vacillation towards the large cap IT scrips – INFY and TCS seem to be the
current favourites in the market, given the strong possibility of a turnaround
led upmove in operating revenue for the larger players in the US markets.
Banking
stocks continue to confuse marketmen esp. with the RBI’s mid-quarter credit
policy around the corner later this week though there seems to be a wide
consensus on the possibility of a 25 bps repo rate hike. It would also be worth
mentioning that the RBI governor in his recent public appearances has been
talking about adding liquidity into the system which may seem contrarian to the
very clear need to hike repo rates particularly to rein in inflation. So it
remains to be seen how the RBI governor does this tightrope walk once again and
markets could take further cues from there by Wednesday. Before the RBI policy
announcement, we also face the trigger of the FOMC’s announcement on the taper
and we expect market volumes during the day’s session to be on the lighter side
in light of this event on Tuesday.
The new
10-yr benchmark continues to be edging stronger on yields, almost within
kissing distance of the 9% mark – the 25 bps repo rate hike almost seems to
have been factored in. Any deviation from the expected move by the RBI on
Wednesday would only impact the yields going ahead.
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